Do I ship it?

Games2D Platformer2D Platformer + Crime

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Crime 2D Platformer?

2D Platformer + Crime

Of 33 developers who shipped a Crime 2D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 55 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $540, ×0.9 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $210; 1 in 20 cleared $11k, ×18 the market median. Revenue is up 80% on the market; 55 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 80% on the market, 55 announced, ×3.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
2D Platformer + Crime
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 33
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $479 → $719 → $1.3k → $479 → $1.4k (still earning) → $479 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 2D Platformer + Crime: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 33
Bottom 30% $210 (exactly $210)
Median $539 (exactly $539)
Top 25% $1.3k (exactly $1,258)
Top 5% $11k (exactly $11,315)
Developers, 2 yr 33
Released games 71
Announced 55
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 80% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

2D Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Crime
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
2D Platformer; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, RPG, Dating Sim
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Anime, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 1,998 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $210, median $540, 1 in 4 over $1.2k, 1 in 20 over $11k.

3 in 10 developers made under $210. 9 in 10 of the 22 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 55 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

2D Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + JRPGFair150 devs · median $4.2k · 157 announced
  2. + VampiresFair47 devs · median $1.9k · 50 announced
  3. + MechsFair33 devs · median $1.8k · 44 announced
  4. + PinballFair13 devs · median $1.6k · 9 announced
  5. + WesternFair10 devs · median $1.3k · 13 announced
  6. + CRPGFair62 devs · median $1.2k · 76 announced
  7. + Psychological HorrorFair178 devs · median $1.0k · 185 announced
  8. + Arena ShooterFair45 devs · median $809 · 43 announced
  9. + MiningFair38 devs · median $748 · 45 announced
  10. + RoguelikeFair264 devs · median $599 · 320 announced
  11. + Party-Based RPGFair55 devs · median $599 · 42 announced
  12. + Tactical RPGFair58 devs · median $599 · 49 announced

All 226 pairs on the 2D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
BM General Hospital $7.99 1,368 86% 41k $328k (exactly $327,910) zzzgame
They Always Run older $9.99 770 78% 23k $231k (exactly $230,769) Alawar
Lady in Mystery older $24.99 158 94% 4.7k $118k (exactly $118,453) nolsoft
River City Girls Zero older $14.99 190 67% 5.7k $85k (exactly $85,443) WayForward
BM game Co. $7.99 236 75% 7.1k $57k (exactly $56,569) zzzgame
BM Love Cafe $7.99 204 77% 6.1k $49k (exactly $48,899) zzzgame
Yurukill: The Calumniation Games older $19.99 64 76% 1.9k $38k (exactly $38,381) IzanagiGames, G.rev Ltd., ESQUADRA,inc.
Re;quartz零度 older $34.99 35 82% 1.1k $37k (exactly $36,740) B-cluster
PARASiTE FLOWER older $2.99 245 76% 7.4k $22k (exactly $21,976) Catowo
Polda 3 older $3.99 123 98% 3.7k $15k (exactly $14,723) Zima software
Curse or Love $4.49 84 90% 2.5k $11k (exactly $11,315) 小橘子糖_official
KIYO - Bunny Tyranny $14.99 23 100% 690 $10k (exactly $10,343) Pixel Rats
刑死のためのカウンセル $7.99 28 96% 840 $6.7k (exactly $6,712) 薬草神話
Street Cleaner 3 $15.99 8 100% 240 $3.8k (exactly $3,838) Creaky Lantern Games
Ninja Five-O $24.99 5 80% 150 $3.7k (exactly $3,748) Limited Run Games, Inc.
仿生羊游戏 $1.99 34 79% 1.0k $2.0k (exactly $2,030) Motopia Studio
1964 Operation Velvet Twins $5.99 8 87% 240 $1.4k (exactly $1,438) SEEP

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.