Do I ship it?

Games2D Platformer2D Platformer + Capitalism

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Capitalist 2D Platformer?

2D Platformer + Capitalism

Of 22 developers who shipped a Capitalist 2D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 53 more are announced, ×3.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $720, ×1.5 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $210; 1 in 20 cleared $22k, ×47 the market median. Revenue is down 60% on the market; 53 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 60% on the market, 53 announced, ×3.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
2D Platformer + Capitalism
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 22
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.7k → $2.4k → $5.4k → $7.0k → $718 → $599 (still earning) → $1.6k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 2D Platformer + Capitalism: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 22
Bottom 30% $210 (exactly $210)
Median $718 (exactly $718)
Top 25% $5.7k (exactly $5,746)
Top 5% $22k (exactly $22,228)
Developers, 2 yr 22
Released games 65
Announced 53
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 60% on the market, supply 55% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

2D Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Capitalism
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
2D Platformer; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action-Adventure, Adventure, Platformer
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $11.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics, 1980s
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 475 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $210, median $720, 1 in 4 over $5.7k, 1 in 20 over $22k.

3 in 10 developers made under $210. 8 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 53 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

2D Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + JRPGFair150 devs · median $4.2k · 157 announced
  2. + VampiresFair47 devs · median $1.9k · 50 announced
  3. + MechsFair33 devs · median $1.8k · 44 announced
  4. + PinballFair13 devs · median $1.6k · 9 announced
  5. + WesternFair10 devs · median $1.3k · 13 announced
  6. + CRPGFair62 devs · median $1.2k · 76 announced
  7. + Psychological HorrorFair178 devs · median $1.0k · 185 announced
  8. + Arena ShooterFair45 devs · median $809 · 43 announced
  9. + MiningFair38 devs · median $748 · 45 announced
  10. + RoguelikeFair264 devs · median $599 · 320 announced
  11. + Party-Based RPGFair55 devs · median $599 · 42 announced
  12. + Tactical RPGFair58 devs · median $599 · 49 announced

All 226 pairs on the 2D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Night in the Woods older $19.99 17,760 94% 533k $11M (exactly $10,650,672) Infinite Fall
The Elephant Collection older $14.99 723 95% 22k $325k (exactly $325,133) Wonderful Elephant (jmtb02)
Garlic Builder older $7.99 299 92% 9.0k $72k (exactly $71,670) CaveLiquid
The Company Man older $15.99 84 77% 2.5k $40k (exactly $40,295) Forust
Alruna and the Necro-Industrialists $9.99 113 84% 3.4k $34k (exactly $33,866) Neckbolt
Skyline Urban Story $6.99 106 90% 3.2k $22k (exactly $22,228) PandaUpStudio
大宋广记 · EA older $8.99 73 75% 2.2k $20k (exactly $19,688) 希望城
Antro $14.99 42 92% 1.3k $19k (exactly $18,887) Gatera Studio
Alruna: End of History $11.99 44 88% 1.3k $16k (exactly $15,827) Neckbolt
Sunset Game Shop Shayou $9.99 41 90% 1.2k $12k (exactly $12,288) Lobstudio
Horse Plinko $4.99 47 89% 1.4k $7.0k (exactly $7,036) Crawley, Womp
Deep Sea Fish: Hidden World $3.99 48 70% 1.4k $5.7k (exactly $5,746) Althea Games
Company Rising $8.99 11 18% 330 $3.0k (exactly $2,967) Director Liu
Roid Chimp $7.99 11 90% 330 $2.6k (exactly $2,637) Robert Panichpakdee
Dash'n'Drops · EA $6.99 12 91% 360 $2.5k (exactly $2,516) Le Moulin aux Bulles

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.