Do I ship it?

Games2D Platformer2D Platformer + Assassins

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Assassin 2D Platformer?

2D Platformer + Assassins

Only 9 developers shipped an Assassin 2D Platformer in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Siege and the Sandfox, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 19 more are announced, ×3.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $210 in the last 2 years and $210 over 4, against a market of $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build. 5 developers shipped in the last year and 19 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 205% on the market, 19 announced, ×3.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
2D Platformer + Assassins
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for 2D Platformer + Assassins: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $148 (exactly $148)
Median $210 (exactly $210)
Top 25% $1.9k (exactly $1,918)
Top 5% $81k (exactly $80,946)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 34
Announced 19
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 205% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

2D Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Assassins
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
2D Platformer
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 94% positive over 7,026 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $210, 1 in 4 over $1.9k, 1 in 20 over $80k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 19 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

2D Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + JRPGFair150 devs · median $4.2k · 157 announced
  2. + VampiresFair47 devs · median $1.9k · 50 announced
  3. + MechsFair33 devs · median $1.8k · 44 announced
  4. + PinballFair13 devs · median $1.6k · 9 announced
  5. + WesternFair10 devs · median $1.3k · 13 announced
  6. + CRPGFair62 devs · median $1.2k · 76 announced
  7. + Psychological HorrorFair178 devs · median $1.0k · 185 announced
  8. + Arena ShooterFair45 devs · median $809 · 43 announced
  9. + MiningFair38 devs · median $748 · 45 announced
  10. + RoguelikeFair264 devs · median $599 · 320 announced
  11. + Party-Based RPGFair55 devs · median $599 · 42 announced
  12. + Tactical RPGFair58 devs · median $599 · 49 announced

All 226 pairs on the 2D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Mark of the Ninja: Remastered older $19.99 6,584 95% 198k $3.9M (exactly $3,948,425) Klei Entertainment
The Siege and the Sandfox $14.99 180 64% 5.4k $81k (exactly $80,946) Cardboard Sword
Ganryu 2 older $17.99 72 58% 2.2k $39k (exactly $38,858) Storybird Studio
KIYO - Bunny Tyranny $14.99 23 100% 690 $10k (exactly $10,343) Pixel Rats
Worker Riot older $24.99 11 81% 330 $8.2k (exactly $8,247) Laush Dmitriy Sergeevich
Hit Zero: Chronos older $4.99 41 70% 1.2k $6.1k (exactly $6,138) ZHANG FAN
CHOP older $9.99 10 90% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) Claws Up Games
The Rainman older $0.99 92 97% 2.8k $2.7k (exactly $2,732) Copperbolt
Phantom Playhouse $7.99 8 62% 240 $1.9k (exactly $1,918) Kakytron
Second Samurai older $10.99 5 80% 150 $1.6k (exactly $1,648) Vivid Image
Ninjora Echoes $5.99 2 100% 60 $359 (exactly $359) BUG-Studio
SZX $6.99 1 100% 30 $210 (exactly $210) Venagon
Wren's Resurgence $4.99 1 0% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Soliloquy Games
Getaway Golf $0.99 5 100% 150 $148 (exactly $148) schizmo
Ninja and the Quest for the Jade Statue $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) our_flag_means_fun
I was reincarnated as a mage. · EA $19.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) SimulationJay

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.